Forex - Non-agricultural employment data is not as expected, interest rate cuts may increase sharply

Discussion in 'Weekly Forex Analysis' started by jerry0821, Sep 9, 2019.

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  1. jerry0821

    jerry0821 Member

    Last week (6th), the Labor Department announced that the number of non-agricultural employment in August increased by only 130,000, far below the market expectation of 163,000. The main factor is that the number of employees in the retail industry has decreased for seven consecutive months, but the average hourly wage. However, the increase of 0.4% is better than the market expectation of 0.3%, and the unemployment rate has also remained at a historical low of 3.7%, indicating that labor supply is tight and the pressure on salary increases, which is expected to support consumer spending and threaten the environment in Sino-US trade friction. Next, keep the economy slowly expanding.
    Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said in a speech at the University of Zurich that the latest data shows that the job market is still strong, and the Federal Reserve will take appropriate action to maintain economic expansion when necessary.

    Forex - Technical Analysis (Gold XAUUSD):
    1.png
    Forex analysis, today's gold (September 9) early in the morning at 1508.0 US dollars/ounce, from the technical analysis, the 1 hour level observation trend was affected by the non-agricultural employment data last week (6th), the skyrocketing market, currently pulled back Stabilization is at the 0.236 level of the gold return level, so there is a chance to make a rebound.
    At present, the analysis of foreign exchange is based on the short-term pressure range of 1520~1520.5 US dollars/ounce, the downward direction, the initial support range is 1505~1505.5 US dollars/ounce, the operating mentality is mainly short, and investors who want to enter the market to do more short-term can Consider buying in a range of $1508.5 ounces to $1510.5 ounces per ounce. The MT4 set stop loss can be set below $1505.5 per ounce.

    Forex - Technical Analysis (EUR/USD EURUSD):
    2.png
    Forex analysis, today's EUR/USD (September 9) early in the morning near 1.10260, cut from the technical analysis, 1-hour level observation trend after the high step back slowly to make corrections, there is a steady trend, so have the opportunity to make A small rebound in the market.
    At present, the analysis of foreign exchange is based on the short-term upper-pressure range of 1.10650~1.10700, the downward direction, the initial support range is 1.10050~1.10100, and the operational mentality is mostly short. Investors who want to enter the market to be shorter may consider the range from 1.10230 to 1.10280. Buying in a light warehouse, MT4 setting stop-loss point can be considered to set below 1.10180.

    Forex - Technical Analysis (GBP/USD GBPUSD):
    3.png
    Forex analysis, today's GBP / USD (September 9) early in the vicinity of 1.22766, cut from the technical analysis, 1 hour line-level observations slowly pull back correction, according to the Bollinger channel K rods on the middle and lower rails There is a gap between the two, so there is a chance to continue to fall.
    At present, the analysis of foreign exchange is based on the short-term upper-pressure range of 1.23200~1.23250, the downward direction, the initial support range is 1.22250~1.22300, and the operational mentality is short-term. The investors who want to enter the short-term market can consider the range of 1.22750 to 1.22780. Buy in a light warehouse, MT4 set stop loss point can be considered to set above 1.23050.

    Today's key data:
    1.Japan's second-quarter real GDP annualized rate correction
    2.Japan's July trade account (100 million yen)
    3.Swiss adjusted unemployment rate in August
    4.Germany's unregulated trade account in July (100 million euros)
    5. Germany does not adjust the current account in July (100 million euros)
    6.France August BOF Business Confidence Index
    7.UK's July quarterly adjusted commodity trade account (100 million pounds)
    8.UK industrial output monthly rate in July
    9.UK July manufacturing output monthly rate
    10.UK monthly GDP rate in July
    11.Eurozone September Sentix Investor Confidence Index
     

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